Xi Jinping's One-China policy: Will it happen?

Analyzing the Possibility of China's Re-Unification with Taiwan

The Chinese government has set a deadline of 2049 for the One-China policy. With 27 years remaining until the deadline, it is easy for the public to forget about the policy if things do not go according to plan. It is well-known that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has a history of implementing paper policies that are never enforced. The military in China is notorious for its corruption and conservatism. Unlike Russia, the Chinese military is aware that corruption is a weakness, but does not seem to care. The military also has a tradition of not acting until victory is certain.

However, it is challenging to create a list of conditions that must be met before taking action. The conditions can be formulated ambiguously, making it possible for an official to manipulate the statistics and change red indicators to green. Xi Jinping is currently consolidating his power, which could speed up the process of enforcing the One-China policy. If this happens, an official could play with the statistics, and something on the list might suddenly become green.