#06 Strategic Daily: Four Scenarios for the next 12 Months in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine has been raging for over a year, and its outcome remains uncertain. Four possible scenarios emerge for the next 12 months.

Conflict Escalates

This is the most dangerous scenario, with the potential for significant escalation in the conflict and a humanitarian crisis. It could be triggered by Ukrainian military successes and internal tensions within Russia, leading to a more aggressive Russian military strategy. Conflict could escalate across Ukraine, with Russia indiscrimina…